The Art And Science Of Prediction: NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER

In this groundbreaking book, Wharton professor Philip E. Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on years of research and the results of a massive tournament-the Good Judgment Project involving thousands of ordinary people who set out to forecast global events. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes and failures, interviews with high-level policymakers, and the findings of the Good Judgment Project, Tettock and Gardner show that foresight isn't a gift buta skill that can be taught. Rigorous yet remarkably accessible, Superforecasting is essential reading for anyone who needs to know how the future will unfold.